Polymarket market analysis
Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
Summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pump.fun’s revenue exceeds the amount specified in the title during the month specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the “Revenue” chart set to “Monthly”: https://defillama.com/protocol/pump.fun?groupBy=monthly A monthly bar will be considered finalized once the next month’s bar is published. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 98.6% |
| No | 1.4% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April? The market resolves on May 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.