Polymarket market analysis
Will Dantes receive a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026?
Summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dantes receives a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official announcements from Twitch that Dantes has been banned will qualify regardless of whether the enforcement of the ban has not yet gone into effect. For the purposes of this market, any form of account ban on Twitch, including temporary, indefinite, or permanent suspensions, will count. Content or feature restrictions such as chat timeouts, demonetization, emote removals, loss of partner status, etc., will not count. The primary resolution source will be Twitch.com (e.g., https://www.twitch.tv/dantes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will Dantes receive a Twitch ban by May 1, 2026? The market resolves on May 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.