Polymarket market analysis
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No edge
Ends Nov 7, 202824h Volume
$173,329
Liquidity
$512,556
Outcomes
2
Summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0.9% |
| No | 99.2% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? The market resolves on Nov 7, 2028 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.