Polymarket market analysis
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?
Summary
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 48 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 48 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Grocery Store, Wins $250,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zRtGL0-5rg4&pp=ygUHbXJiZWFzdA%3D%3D. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 0.1% |
| No | 100.0% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2? The market resolves on Apr 20, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.