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Polymarket market analysis

Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala?

No edge
Ends May 4, 2026
24h Volume
$11
Liquidity
$80
Outcomes
2

Summary

The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

OutcomeBest ask
Yes11.5%
No88.5%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?
Will Taylor Swift attend the Met Gala? The market resolves on May 4, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?
Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.