Polymarket market analysis
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
No edge
Ends Apr 21, 202624h Volume
$34
Liquidity
$584
Outcomes
2
Summary
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.6% |
| No | 97.5% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? The market resolves on Apr 21, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.