What is this market about?

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? The market resolves on Nov 7, 2028 based on the rules described on Polymarket.

How does intra-market arbitrage work here?

If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.

Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.

Polymarket market analysis

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No edge

Ends Nov 7, 2028

24h Volume

$55,428

Liquidity

$2,054,714

Outcomes

Summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

Outcome	Best ask
Yes	0.8%
No	99.3%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?: Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? The market resolves on Nov 7, 2028 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?: If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?: Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.